Wednesday, February 06, 2008

A Tie goes to the Winner.


So all the results from Super Tuesday are still not in, but we do know that Senator Barack Obama won 13 States to Senator Clinton's 9. That is a feat that no one would have predicted a month or even two weeks ago. Obama surprised pundits with wins, all be them narrow, in Connecticut and Missouri. He won in states that previously had Clinton ahead. He won two out the three of yesterday's Southern Primaries. That, and his Big victory over Clinton and Edwards in SC, should quell the "A black man can't win in the South" argument. He also was surprisingly close in states that only a week or two ago had him behind by more than thirty percentage points. Clinton did win big states, like California and Massachusetts, but by less than expected. The State to which she owes her "experience" as Senator, New York, was won by 17%. Obama won his Senatorial home state of Illinois, where he lived before becoming Senator, by 31%. The delegates, which are distributed proportionally by Congressional District, have yet to be fully tabulated. Both sides have claimed a slight delegate lead from Super Tuesday. Super delegates, which are ranking party officials who don't have to vote along with the regular delegates, currently are swaying (stealing?) it for the establishment favored Clinton. Whatever the actual count, this contest is further from over than it was before Super Tuesday.

A month ago, Hillary Clinton was the presumptive, if not imminent, Democratic nominee, who would clinch by, or on, Super Tuesday. That myth is over, and I think the Democratic Party is better for it. Unlike some, I think it's a good thing for these two to continue talking to the Country, taking up the headlines, and honing their points until the convention. And the fact that people are looking at these two candidates and saying they would happily vote for either one of them. Hell, just the fact that many of us are saying We are voting For someone, instead of against, is a pretty damn pleasant change of pace, I think. One does have to wonder if the Clinton campaign is starting to fatigue a little. In January, Obama outraised Clinton $32 Million to $10 million. And Clinton's coughing fit end to an interview on Tuesday doesn't bode well for the physical toll the campaign is taking. Don't get me wrong. She is a Strong and Viable candidate for president, not to mention a Fierce competitor. She is in no way out of this. But it's a dead heat, and she's been in the lead up until now. Senator Obama has the momentum and has more resources on hand. AmericaBlog called last night "Barack's big night". DailyKos called it a "Huge night for Obama". But once again I find myself agreeing with the Rude One. "In Brief: Obama won"

I'll leave you with some interesting number crunching from Time :
Here are the numbers just for the 19 states where both parties had elections yesterday
Obama/Clinton voters: 14,460,149
McCain/Romney/Huckabee voters: 8,367,694

TOTAL DEMOCRATIC VOTES CAST
Clinton: 50.2% (7,347,971)
Obama: 49.8% (7,294,851)

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